News and Analysis: Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama and Tom DeLay
Breaking News from NewsMax.com
DeLay Predicts Hillary PresidencyFormer House Majority Leader Tom DeLay knows who will be elected president in 2008: Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton. At a meeting Tuesday in Washington, D.C., hosted by Human Events and the Heritage Foundation, the former Republican congressman also predicted that Clinton's running mate would be Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill. DeLay, who just unveiled his new blog and Grassroots Action and Information Network, said liberal organizations and media will work together to elect Clinton, D-N.Y.
"Hillary will be the next president of the United States because they have built a coalition,” DeLay said, according to Human Events.
Dr. E's Analysis: To my co-workers and/or classes, I've predicted for 12 years that Hillary Clinton (HC) will run for president. In my classes, I've predicted for six years that she'll be the Democrat Party presidential nominee in 2008. This part, Tom DeLay is, I believe, correct. Her vice presidential choice of a well-spoken though unproven senator, U.S. Sen. Barack Obama (IL-D) would be a mega media event, but (here's where DeLay and I part), it won't be enough to get the presidency. Why not?
During the last 30 years, Democrats have needed a Southerner to win the presidency (Carter in '76, Clinton/Gore in '92 and '96). The Democrats will need another Southerner, at least as a vice presidential nominee, to win the 2008 election.
Clinton/Obama against the Republicans in '08 will be a tough race; quite possibly ensuring a win for the Dems calls for someone like U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson (FL-D). Post-2000, Florida still remains a critical state for both parties.
Since HC is a NY/Northeast liberal, she does not need another liberal in Obama. Since Dems already get about 90% of the African-American vote, she won't benefit electorally if she chooses a black vice presidential nominee.
Conclusion: A calm and considered choice by HC would call for a substantive Southern male candidate that will balance the ticket and guarantee electoral votes.
What do you think?
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