Oct 16, 2008

Presidential Debate Round 3: McCain wins the battle; Obama perhaps wins the war

Presidential Debate Round 3: McCain wins by points and wins the battle; Obama plays it safe and perhaps wins the war (issues discussed: the economy, Bill Ayers, Joe the plumber, abortion)

[Before attending to the pundits, my view written during the debate and immediately after the debate between 9:30pm to 10:40pm EST]:

The current national polls, including many of the battleground states, show U.S. Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL), the Democrat nominee is leading by a fairly comfortable margin. Obama’s level of comfortable broad enough to lead him to choose the strategy, “do no harm.” His safe strategy differs from U.S. Sen. John McCain, who is seeking to land hard rights with a direct frontal assault. His campaign has telegraphed this new aggression; Obama expects it. Will McCain go for it? His decision not to may keep him behind while going for it may make him competitive again.

CBS anchor, Bob Schieffer moderated, and opened with the remark that he wants new information from the candidates. Schieffer’s question about the economic crisis started the debate.

McCain offered struggling home owners the ability to renegotiate their untenable monthly premiums with banks and mortgage companies. Obama agreed with the new negotiation ability but differed with McCain’s approach, saying that he didn’t want the banks to further profit from vulnerable people.

McCain took his next opportunity to question Obama’s plan to tax owners of $250,000, which include small business owners like Joe, the plummer. Obama begged to differ saying that McCain would give tax breaks to multibillion corporations and that he, Obama, would provide a tax cut for “95% of working families.”

McCain said that Obama’s conversation with Joe the plummer demonstrates that such owners would be tax. Obama acknowledged that Joe can afford new taxes now while he needed the tax cut when he started his plumbing business.

Next issue was the federal deficit. According to a nonpartisan organization, both Obama and McCain’s plan would raise the deficit beyond a trillion dollars. “A net spending cut” is offered by Obama but not cuts, only improving the way the money is spent. According to Obama, one way of saving is investing in young people so that such investments would bring savings in the long run.

McCain offered cutting marketing strategies by the federal government and cutting out the “pork” in military programs and ethanol. He would use the hatchet first, then the scalpel in trimming federal fat. Obama would only use a scalpel and went on to attack McCain by saying that American cannot stand another four years of Bush/Cheney.

McCain said to Sen. Obama “I am not President Bush.” If you wanted to run against President Bush, you should have run against him four years ago.” He continued, “America tonight is hurting and is angry. I have fought for reform, fought for the people and fought against my own party.” Obama’s foundational attack line for months have been to accuse McCain of continuing the Bush economic plan if he became president.

Schieffer asked if a higher political tone, not mean rhetoric, would again take center stage. McCain said that Obama supporter U.S. Rep. John Lewis (D-Ga) accused McCain of racism and asked Obama during the debate to repudiate such extreme attacks. Obama acknowledged that Lewis’ remark was inappropriate. Obama came back and challenged the McCain campaign by allowing remarks made a few members of the crowd saying of Obama “terrorist” or “kill him.”

McCain then went after Obama regarding Obama association with Bill Ayers and Acorn. Obama said, “Bill Ayers is a university professor though he was associated with domestic terrorists. I was only eight years old when the bombings occurred.” McCain wanted the full extent of his relationship with Ayers, quoting Hillary Clinton. McCain then filled in some of the blanks, including Obama’s long association with Ayers and financially supporting Acorn’s subsidiary with a $230,000 donation. Obama minimized the relationships by saying that he will be associated with Joe Biden, Dick Lugar and other experienced bipartisan individuals.

McCain said, he will associate himself with reformer and anti-corruption leader, Gov. Sarah Palin (R-AK). Schieffer asked Obama, “Do you think she [Palin] is qualified to be president?” Obama accepted that Palin has excited the conservative electorate and would not say that she was not qualified. His safe answer reflected his overall strategy to play it safe.

Obama counter punched McCain sufficient. McCain’s jabs including the fact that “Obama would look at” doing offshore drilling. “We should drill here, drill there and drill now.” McCain said that Obama should not just look but do, including going south of the border for the first time to understand the foreign policy issues. McCain accused Obama of raising taxes and doing little with our allies in the Americas. Obama, as usual, went along with the changing of the topics.

When McCain accused Obama of federalizing and take over the national health care system. Obama said, he would exempt small business from fine for not paying for a health care benefit for their employees. McCain again talked to Joe and said, “Joe, you’re rich,” according to Obama’s parameters, “you’ll have to spread your wealth and use it to pay for the federally mandated health care benefit for your employees.” Obama said, I just want to lower the health costs of employees.

Schieffer asked about the controversial issue of abortion. McCain said that Roe v. Wade was a bad decision, and that the abortion issue belong to the states. “I don’t have litmus tests for judges.” Ideological considerations should not be used but qualifications. Obama agreed no strict litmus test should be applied. He said Roe v. Wade was a good decision, but had a caveat: “I will look for judges who has extraordinary qualifications but also a sense of real world folks are going through.”

McCain said, “Those of us who are proudly pro-life understand that we must change the culture.”McCain noted that Sen. Obama, while in the Illinois state senate, voted three times against using life saving treatment of infants who survive abortions. Again, while in the Illinois senate, he voted against banning a late term abortion procedure dubbed “partial-birth abortions.”

Obama said that the law requiring a life saving treatment for infants who survived the abortion was not necessary. If it was already on the books as Obama confidently asserted, then why didn’t he support the bill rather than oppose it? According to the National Right to Life, what harm would it have done to vote for, after a botched abortion, the saving of innocent born infant life-- twice?

Despite the opposition of the Illinois state medical doctor’s association, it stands to reason that the law was needed to save the abortion survivor’s life. Again, according to NRL and the Illinios Right to Life, in voting against banning partial-birth abortion for the sake of the “health” of the mother, Obama displays blatant disregard of near-term infants who would have to experience the forced collapsed of their own craniums, the suctioning of their brains, then the crushing of their cranium and dismembered of their bodies—all done “safe, legal and rare” by license clinicians —all this to absolutely protect the so-called “health” of the woman who has chosen a medically unnecessary late-term (third trimester) abortion (see www.nrl.org and Physicians for Life for medical evidence).

In the end, McCain won by points via feisty jabs, no knockout, not even close. Obama employed the “rope-a-dope,” bobbing and weaving, and effectively counter punching. Obama kept his body, the body of his campaign safe.

Without any sizable changes in the campaign or any unforeseen events, Obama will win the election, November 4.

Epilogue: At 10:52pm, accordingly to the Drudgereport.com poll with 64,000 voters: 75% said McCain won, 24% said Obama won.

Oct 8, 2008

Analysis of my analyses

Analysis of my recent analyses: Prediction of my prediction

After a reader recently pointed out that I was wrong about my prediction of a Hillary Clinton coronation back in December 13, 2006, I was to look back a little regarding my recent analyses.

Before reading or listening to the pundits, I concluded that John McCain won the first and second debates, while Sarah Palin effectively won her vice presidential debate against U.S. Sen. Joe Biden.

Before each debate, McCain had been slipping or losing in the polls, and after each event he gained a little. Palin's performance gave McCain a fighting chance to take a lead by bringing the ticket closer, by a few points, to the Obama/Biden ticket, as I predicted. Last night after viewing the debate, I immediately predicted that McCain would gain a point or two, and according to a recent Reuters/C-Span/Zogby daily tracking telephone poll from Oct. 5-7, 2008, McCain recovered about a point.

By deciding to think for oneself and to be right more than wrong, is encouraging; it is also a good test regarding one's political instincts. Try it sometime. Watch an event, and before talking to or listening to someone or the media, decide for yourself who won or lost, and why. You'd be encouraged, too!

My prediction back in December 13, 2006 (the same day that I was wrong about Obama not becoming the Democrat nominee), I predicted that if the Democrats win the White House and control the Congress, "With some tactical changes, all in all, little will change in Iraq during the next 12-18 months militarily . . . . With responsibility comes political moderation and electoral consideration."

Wait and see if I'm right that if Obama wins and the Democrats hold on to Congress, I'll bet you my old tennis balls, that my prediction will reflect reality. Let's see.

Paglia: Pro-Obama, pro-Palin

I was so impressed with segments of pro-feminist academic and cultural icon, Camille Paglia's comments defendng Sarah Palin that I decided to do a first, import a generous portion of her Salon.com article.

Nobody's dummy
Liberals underestimate Sarah Palin's vitality and -- yes -- smarts at their own peril. Plus: Obama's presidential air, Biden's condescending mugging, feminism's lost sisters.

By Camille Paglia

Although nothing will sway my vote for Obama, I continue to enjoy Sarah Palin's performance on the national stage. During her vice-presidential debate last week with Joe Biden (whose conspiratorial smiles with moderator Gwen Ifill were outrageous and condescending toward his opponent), I laughed heartily at Palin's digs and slams and marveled at the way she slowly took over the entire event. I was sorry when it ended! But Biden wasn't -- judging by his Gore-like sighs and his slow sinking like a punctured blimp. Of course Biden won on points, but TV (a visual medium) never cares about that.

The mountain of rubbish poured out about Palin over the past month would rival Everest. What a disgrace for our jabbering army of liberal journalists and commentators, too many of whom behaved like snippy jackasses. The bourgeois conventionalism and rank snobbery of these alleged humanitarians stank up the place. As for Palin's brutally edited interviews with Charlie Gibson and that viper, Katie Couric, don't we all know that the best bits ended up on the cutting-room floor? Something has gone seriously wrong with Democratic ideology, which seems to have become a candied set of holier-than-thou bromides attached like tutti-frutti to a quivering green Jell-O mold of adolescent sentimentality.

And where is all that lurid sexual fantasy coming from? When I watch Sarah Palin, I don't think sex -- I think Amazon warrior! I admire her competitive spirit and her exuberant vitality, which borders on the supernormal. The question that keeps popping up for me is whether Palin, who was born in Idaho, could possibly be part Native American (as we know her husband is), which sometimes seems suggested by her strong facial contours. I have felt that same extraordinary energy and hyper-alertness billowing out from other women with Native American ancestry -- including two overpowering celebrity icons with whom I have worked.

One of the most idiotic allegations batting around out there among urban media insiders is that Palin is "dumb." Are they kidding? What level of stupidity is now par for the course in those musty circles? (The value of Ivy League degrees, like sub-prime mortgages, has certainly been plummeting. As a Yale Ph.D., I have a perfect right to my scorn.) People who can't see how smart Palin is are trapped in their own narrow parochialism -- the tedious, hackneyed forms of their upper-middle-class syntax and vocabulary.

As someone whose first seven years were spent among Italian-American immigrants (I never met an elderly person who spoke English until we moved from Endicott to rural Oxford, New York, when I was in first grade), I am very used to understanding meaning through what might seem to others to be outlandish or fractured variations on standard English. Furthermore, I have spent virtually my entire teaching career (nearly four decades) in arts colleges, where the expressiveness of highly talented students in dance, music and the visual arts takes a hundred different forms. Finally, as a lover of poetry (my last book was about that), I savor every kind of experimentation with standard English -- beginning with Shakespeare, who was the greatest improviser of them all at a time when there were no grammar rules.

Many others listening to Sarah Palin at her debate went into conniptions about what they assailed as her incoherence or incompetence. But I was never in doubt about what she intended at any given moment. On the contrary, I was admiring not only her always shapely and syncopated syllables but the innate structures of her discourse -- which did seem to fly by in fragments at times but are plainly ready to be filled with deeper policy knowledge, as she gains it (hopefully over the next eight years of the Obama presidencies). This is a tremendously talented politician whose moment has not yet come. That she holds views completely opposed to mine is irrelevant.

The hysterical emotionalism and eruptions of amoral malice at the arrival of Sarah Palin exposed the weaknesses and limitations of current feminism. But I am convinced that Palin's bracing mix of male and female voices, as well as her grounding in frontier grit and audacity, will prove to be a galvanizing influence on aspiring Democratic women politicians too, from the municipal level on up. Palin has shown a brand-new way of defining female ambition -- without losing femininity, spontaneity or humor. She's no pre-programmed wonk of the backstage Hillary Clinton school; she's pugnacious and self-created, the product of no educational or political elite -- which is why her outsider style has been so hard for media lemmings to comprehend. And by the way, I think Tina Fey's witty impersonations of Palin have been fabulous. But while Fey has nailed Palin's cadences and charm, she can't capture the energy, which is a force of nature.

Paglia above exposes the vulnerability and consequence of feminism, and the positive effects of an authentic woman in Sarah Palin and a secure husband and loving father in Todd Palin, faithful spouses both. Breath of fresh air, is it not?

McCain underperforms against Obama

2008 Presidential Debate Round 2: McCain underperforms against Obama

Pre-pundits
Again, before listening to the pundits and writing this blog during the latter part of the debate, allow me to provide you with my instant analysis.

Short jabs not strong punches
With U.S. Sen. McCain behind three points, according to a recent CBS poll of registered voters, he needed to land strong punches, instead he employed short jabs against U.S. Sen. Barack Obama. Though many jabs hit their mark, the required heavy blows to break out of second place were missing.

Obama connected again
Obama aimed for the middle class and the independent and mostly connected. He reacted to McCain’s jabs and pushed back. His smooth style and broad strokes regarding issues continued; he stumbled only once when he started to answer about energy with “you know” and said “and” seven to eight times in about 15-20 seconds. He came back strong by standing by succinctly that health “is a right” saying that his mom during her dying days were arguing with insurance companies. If this mom story is true, then it is hard to argue against.

McCain's lost opportunity
McCain did not come back by saying, “Who is going to pay for this trillion dollar bill?” Obama also said that preconditions should not be considered by insurers. McCain did not ask “Who is going to pay for risky lifestyle choices and daily decisions leading to debilitating diseases costing healthy taxpayers hundreds of billions?”

The big issues resulted into many wordy answers and rebuttals. NBC moderator, Tom Brokaw, wanted a “yes” or “no” whether Russia under Vladimir Putin is an evil empire, neither candidate answered yes or no. McCain said maybe, explaining that yes or no would be taken wrong. Obama used more words, as he did throughout the debate, frustrating Brokaw.

No tought talk from the Straight Talker
The talk before the debate was about McCain bringing the issue of Obama’s radical associations with: former self-proclaimed pro-violence 1960s founder of the Weather Underground, now Univ. of Illinois at Chicago professor William Ayers; campaign fundraiser, Tony Rezko who was recently convicted of 16 counts of fraud and money laundering; and, self-professed anti-American former pastor and advisor, Reverend Jeremiah Wrght.

No tough talk, no win
Before the debate began, a McCain aid said that such straight and blunt talk would not happen. Such a decision to hold back and remain civil at this critical juncture of the presidential election process may have cost McCain to underperform in the debate, and perhaps in the election. McCain may gain a point or two from this debate with one more debate left. Obama will keep his lead with 27 days left. It is still his election to lose.

Oct 7, 2008

VP Debate: Palin the overcomer

2008 Vice Presidential Debate: Palin Ties Biden in substance , Palin wins in style, Palin overcomes

Again, before listening to the pundits, my view at 10:30pm EST, October 2, 2008:
As almost 100 hundred viewers looked on, both of the candidates were seen as stronger defenders of the top ticket while holding their own. U.S. Sen. Joe Biden was distinctly disciplined while Gov. Sarah Palin sufficiently competent and looked straight into the camera as well as her opponent
Palin v. Biden
Palin said of the Obama/Biden Iraq plan, “Your plan is a white flag of surrender” and used Biden’s previous words against Obama’s Iraq plan before switching his position supporting the plan when he became the vice presidential nominee. Biden posed with a big smile, then attacked U.S. Sen. McCain without answering the accusation.
Palin attack’s Biden
Palin continued to used Biden’s previous words and record against his ticket’s position without stumbling once. Palin quoted former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, General Petraeus and Al-Quaida in relation to the central role of Iraq in the War on Terror.
Biden/Palin: no major blunders
Biden, though not as folksy, was equally firm and confident in his answers and views. He answered like a senior senator, no major blunders and faithfully protected and advanced Obama’s plans and rhetoric. Midway through the debate, Biden switched gears by attacking McCain by tying him to George Bush, mentioning that the McCain plan looks no different than Bush’s (saying Bush’s name five times in a row).
Biden did make minor mistakes by stumbling on the word characterization and calling Bosnians “Bosniacs.” Besides these minor items. Biden was forceful and articulate.
A mistake was also made by Palin. She referred to Gen. McClellan as the top U.S. commander in Afghanistan; David McKiernan is the top general. This misstep was inconsequential as Palin went on the offensive.
Palin on the offensive
Palin on the attack: Biden “voted for the [Iraq] war, then voted against it, like other Washington politicians “who voted for it before voting against it.” On the other hand, Palin propelled McCain as one who has fought and knows how to secure victory.
Prevention and cooperation not preemption is the changed that is needed in American foreign policy said Biden. Wry smiles and a wink was Palin’s response claiming to bringing Wasilla main street in the streets of Washington. “There you go again Joe, doggonit, it ain’t so,” saying that Biden going back to attacking George Bush.

Biden as an independent VP
Biden would play his VP role as an independent counselor and experienced advisor as Obama wants. For supporting McCain as president, Palin’s experience as an executive as a former mayor and governor, while being connected to the heartland of American as a mom, wife and middle class consumer would carry the people’s needs to Washington. She agrees with McCain that in terms of worldview, American is an exceptional country and a beacon on a hill as Ronald Reagan has often said.
Last word for Palin
Palin concluded, despite media attacks against her, “We’re going to fight for America. I thank God that I know the pains and joys of the American families. There is really only one person who have fought for you, John McCain.”
Biden’s blessing
Biden concluded with “guaranteed health” for the troops and that “dignity, respect and love for country equal success.” It’s time for American to get up again. May God bless all of you and may God protect our troops.
Palin overcomes
Palin was “forceful and confident” according to centrist Roll Call editor, Morton Kondrache. Although Biden did very well, the pounding against Palin in the media called for a low threshold of victory for her. So I agree with an undecided female from the Midwest Anheuser Busch plant interviewed by pollster Frank Luntz immediately after the Fox News broadcast of the debate, “It was hers to win or lose, and she won.” Palin overcame.

Sep 26, 2008

McCain v. Obama: Round 1 goes to McCain

Presidential Debates 2008 Round 1

Width and depth
After viewing the debate and before listening to pundits, I saw U.S. Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) provide significant depth and width to issues of foreign policy and national security. U.S. Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) also provide width but lacked depth.

Style vs. substanceSen. Obama presented his marquee style while Sen. McCain displayed seriousness, though both were relevant and sober about the issues. McCain showed substance, reflecting his 26 years of congressional experience and knowledge of foreign policy and national security.

Score: McCain 67 vs. Obama 33
Based on a 100 scale, I saw Obama garner 33 points with his style and limited grasp of the national/international issues. McCain significantly overcame Obama's effort with personal experiences, personal details and a wealth of understanding of leaders and foreign policy and national security issues.

Obama lost an opportunity but still has a chance--later

Obama has another opportunity later when the issues focus on domestic as well as economic issues. Obama was very competitive with McCain early in this first debate when the discussion concentrated on domestic and economic issues, but his lack of a substantive platform and bold details prevented him from taking an early lead. As the debate left the domestic context, McCain left Obama feeling the waves as McCain left with his Navy ship sailing around the Seven Seas with a strong grasp of the issues.

What are your thoughts, not the pundits thoughts, yours?

A Drudgereport.com poll of over 168,000 voters: 68% McCain, 31% Obama, 2% neither won (Sep. 27, 2008 at 1:ooam). Again, what do you think after seeing the debate with your own eyes?

Sep 6, 2008

Faith of Her Mother: Profile of the Faith of Sarah Palin

Faith of Her Mother: Profile of the Faith of Sarah Palin

According to some news reports, Republican vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin recently blamed supporters of the Democratic presidential ticket for spreading "misinformation and flat-out lies" about her and her family (www.newsmax.com). What is the truth about Palin?

Just the facts: Sarah's source
Who is Sarah Palin, and what is the source of her strength, what developed her view of family, and what informs her politics and worldview?

The church
A few weeks before the national spotlight focused on her, an 11 year member of Wasilla Bible Church, Jeff Disney said, "We sat in front of Sarah and Todd Palin at church two weeks ago. That day we dedicated their new baby, just the way you would have liked it. They are solid, sold out for the Lord," and strong believers of the Bible. The Disneys have known the Palins for three years.

Sarah, plain and tall
Before attending Wasilla Bible Church, Sarah Palin was born a Roman Catholic, then grew up as a member of an Assemblies of God church, a conservative and pentecostal Christian denomination. As reported by the Associated Press, currently, according to the McCain-Palin campaign, she frequents different churches and does not consider herself a pentecostal (a Christian body that believes in the apostolic gifts of the Holy Spirit as active today).

While in high school, she led the local Fellowship of Christian Athletes group. Known as a tough player, "Sarah Barracuda," led her girls' basketball in prayer and in play to a state championship.

Church and more churches
According to the National Catholic Reporter, Palin often attends an independent Christian church called Church on the Rock in Wasilla, Alaska (go to www.churchontherockak.org for church statement of faith). An AP religion writer also noted that Palin infrequently attends Juneau Christian Center. Finally, a Time magazine article concluded that the Palin's church of worship is Wasilla Bible Church (www.wasillabible.org for church statement of faith), as confirmed by the testimony of the church member who witnessed the baby dedication.

Faith and practice
Facts concur that Palin is a faithful churchgoer, but does her faith translate to actions in life and in politics?

Early testing revealed that Palin's fifth child would be born with Down syndrome. While 90% of mothers of Down syndrome babies choose abortion, Palin's longterm pro-life position and faith pointed to one decision--birth and "blessing." The Anchorage Daily News reported, "she was sad at first but they now feel blessed that God chose them."

Culture of life
Palin's press statement this past spring explained their sentiments:

"Trig is beautiful and already adored by us. We knew through early testing he would face special challenges, and we feel privileged that God would entrust us with the gift and allow us unspeakable joy as he entered our lives.

The statemented concluded:
"We have faith that every baby is created for good purpose and has potential to make this world a better place. We are truly blessed."

A quiet but firm faith from her mother
Boston Globe religion writer Michael Paulson summed up Palin's faith and practice:
"Her Christian faith, they say, came from her mother, who took her children to area Bible churches as they were growing up . . . . her faith has been steady since high school . . . and grew stronger as she sought out believers in her college years. Palin doesn't brandish her religion on the campaign."

"Wearing her faith quietly fits more with Palin's personality," said longtime Alaska resident Chas St. George.

Three years ago, at the Interact Ministry (www.interactministries.org) conference, "nobody introduced her," said Disney. She and Todd were just sitting quietly at his table when he (Disney) realized that this is the mayor of Wasilla. They were there to give money to a ministry that cared for the spiritual and physical needs of northern communities around Alaska, Canada and Russia.

It was here that Disney and his wife became acquainted with the Palins. "We were ask to host a table and we got to know them a bit there." When ask if she's really who she portrays herself, Disney said, "When you listen to her, you can tell!"

The children are active in church events. Todd and Sarah "are both great parents. I can hardly picture Todd without him having one of his kids hanging on him or in his arms - he is a very involved and loving father." Todd is also a four-time champion of the Iron Dog, roughly a 2000 mile snow-machine race over land, rivers and some open ocean from Wasilla to Nome, Alaska. He is a "man's man" but also "Mr. Mom and kids love him." He is both strong and soft but always, according to Sarah's Republican Convention acceptance speech, "my man."

Integrity
Wasilla Bible Church associate pastor Ashley Brown believes in her integrity: "What she says is what she thinks. Her actions back it up and her words match her beliefs."

Disney agrees that as a professing Christian, Sarah Palin is full of "integrity." She does "the right thing when no one is looking," including taking pay cuts instead of the offered raises, said Wasilla church member and longtime Wasilla and Alaskan voter. As one of her first acts as governor, she listed the govenor's jet on Ebay. Palin "believes in Jesus Christ and is a born-again believer."

Senior Pastor Larry Kroon has taught the Palins, Disneys and many other families using an "inductive style" of teaching, meticulously teaching the Bible one of at a time. The church recently finished going through the Gospel of Mark, using Scripture to prove Scripture while scrutinizing various interpretations for biblical accuracy. Her quiet faith and integrity have come through resulting into political reformation.

She "has cleaned house in the state," Disney said. Her belief in Christ as savior, Lord and creator orients her politics, including the belief for equal time to creationism in public schools, serving the people and public integrity.

Politics, promises and marathons
Sarah Palin's authenticity has turned presidential politics up-side-down. The McCain-Palin ticket promises real reform to the well known politics of personal destruction and corruption. This is just the beginning, so will this marathon running mayor and governor go the political distance?

If this GOP ticket can root out DC corruption half as successfully as Palin did in Juneau against her own party, then the Straight Talk Express would really have something to say. Campaign finance reform and other anti-corruption reforms would truly pale in (or Palin) comparison!

Aug 29, 2008

A conservative, female GOP VP nominee?

If the operative (leading) reason for U.S. Sen. John McCain's vice presidential pick of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin was due to gender and such egalitarian reasons, then his pick is problematic. Remember, Martin Luther King, Jr., said, we "should not be judged by the color of our skin, but the content of our character."

Whether its skin or gender, either characteristics are outside of our control. What we can control, that is, the "content of our character," should be the operative factor for selection. Content of our character reflects our integrity, discipline, hard work, faithfulness leading to achievements, successful relationships and contentment. Apparently, Gov. Palin has the necessary content of character.

The question remains, did Sen. McCain pick her finally because she was the most qualified under the circumstances or because she was a woman? If she was picked for being a woman (to obtain Hillary Clinton female voters and the historic suffrage moment), then political appeasement to left-liberal egalitarian in gender affairs won out.

McCain and his close confidants only knows. Certainly, many now know that the Palin pick does change the poltical dynamics. Obama and his particular ethnicity is not the only historic moment in this race; Palin does not pale in comparison.

Promises, Promises: Obama's big heart versus reality

In his historic speech last night, U.S. Sen. Obama, the Democrat nominee, stated that he felt everyone's pain, causing him to make many promises. If he made 100 promises, then how many do you think he will fulfill?

Of course, we should not expect him to fulfill 100% of his promises, but if he is the source of change and hope, then why shouldn't we expect a high fulfillment ratio? Shouldn't we expect that most of his promises will be fulfilled in his first term, then look for him to fulfill the rest during his second term?

Pessimistically, if he is a typical politician--long on promises, short on fulfillment, then half or even a quarter of the promises fulfilled would be satisfactory. If you look at his promises--health care for all, peace in the world under his open door leadership approach, ending Middle East oil dependency in 10 years and a tax cut for 95% of us and other such near universal promises, it may be that 10% of promises fulfilled would be realistic. Yet, it may be that only 1% of his promises would be fulfilled, starting with tax increases for the top 5% of earners.

After all, who would pay for all the new, universal federal programs? Truly, the top 5% of earners already pay about 80% to 90% of the taxes. So, where would the rest of the money to pay for the multi-billion dollar federal give aways come from?

Senator Obama's high minded rhetoric was very liberal with much populist appeal: the government and the rich are bad but the everyday man and woman are good. This attracts a broad constituency to win elections.

When the presidential campaign is complete, will Obama and his policies be able to resolve these national and international questions:
1) Will he be able to cut taxes for 95% of taxpayers while paying for an already bloated federal government with a budget approaching $2 trillion plus billions more for free healthcare for all?
2) Will he actually provide health care for legal and illegal immigrants and all the uninsured, which comprises the 47 million uninsured?
3) How will he end our Middle East oil dependency in 10 years when he will prevent, via bureaucratic regulations, the increase of nuclear energy and natural gas facilitation and offshore drilling?
4) Will face-to-face dialogue with the two remaining leaders of the "Axis of Evil" (Iran and North Korea) lead to their unilateral nuclear disarmament and peace co-existence with their neighbors?
5) Will he really and completely pull American solders out of Iraq within 60 days of an Obama oath of office, leaving a political and military vacuum thereby allowing nearly nuclear neighbor Iran to dominate the oil-rich region? Will he then take responsibility for the death of millions of Iraqis?


Wanted: rhetorical accountants, fact checkers and a federally mandated fulfillment department.

Jul 12, 2008

Jesse Jackson in Real Life

Jesse Jackson in Real Life

Greenville native
Greenville, S.C. native, Jesse Jackson was himself during a July 9 interview in Chicago with Dr. Reed Tuckson, a healthcare official. While thinking that the TV microphone was off, Jackson whispered castigating words against Democrat presidential nominee Barack Obama for "talking down" to black Americans.

During the interview, a microphone picked up the Reverend saying in part: "See, Barack, been,um, talkin' down to black people on this faith based [issue]. I want to cut his [male body part] off."

Jackson's venom?
Why is Jackson filled with hate when:
1) he's a very public minister of the Gospel;
2) the faith based initiative publicly supported by Obama would support his (Jackson's) charitable organizations;
3) his fellow black professing Christian leader (U.S. Sen. Obama) is talking about male responsibility in relationships;
4) Obama was speaking of responsible fatherhood for all ethnicities;

Victimization industry
As I've written in my previous articles about race and equality, "civil rights leaders," such as Jesse Jackson only grow when minority groups experience "victimization."

Victimization, money and irresponsibility
When other black leaders speak of black responsibility, including Bill Cosby, Juan Williams and now Obama speak positively on the issue, opportunists like Jackson get angry. He (Jackson), perhaps thinks, they are drying up my source of income--blaming the "white" system, blaming "white" America and blaming absolute and inherent inequalities.

Responsbility, truth and God
The truth is, minorites as myself, have a lot of responsibility for where we are. We have two hands, two feet, a mind and God given skills. With God, we do have hope and things can change especially if we have the will that is submitted to God's will. This country is sufficiently free for every legal citizen (and for many illegal aliens). There are opportunities galore in this free and abundant nation. So much freedom that it allows such charleton's as Jackson to thrive and gain tens of millions a year based on the suffering of other minorities. The real Jackson showed up on the interview, showing his real face.

Sharing the national spotlight
Though he has apologized since being caught on tape literally, Jackson was, is and continues to be simply jealous and petty. He has been on the top of the civil rights heap (even after fathering an illegitimate child), and now a new kid in-town (who isn't totally black in ethnicity and ideologically) is getting the national and media attention.

Obama over Jackson
With Obama in-town so to speak (from Chicago, in fact, Jackson's Rainbow Coalition's headquarters), Jackson is bumped out! As he said previous while running for president in the 1980s, he will be going from the "out house, the statehouse, to the White House). His dream of attaining the White House has dissipated but the nightmare of the media out house is coming to fruition. His rainbow may be crashing down. So now, maybe he will actually get a job that is outside of the protesting venue.

During the interview and with the microphone inadvertently left on, Jesse Jackson happened in real life.

Hope and Change
My hope is that Jackson will truly repent from all those years of cashing in the victimization of others. Though there is still racism in the hearts of many Americans, much of the system has been fixed. Jackson needs to change his tune so he can provide hope based on the Christian gospel.

Redemption and forgiveness
There can be redemption for many, including Jackson; the gift of forgiveness and freedom are available to all through faith in Christ. This biblical message flows from Moses to Abraham Lincoln to Booker T. Washington to Martin Luther King, Jr. to Jesse Jackson himself.

Your real thoughts?

Jul 4, 2008

4th of July Must Still Have Meaning

4th of July Must Still Have Meaning

As I watch the children wade in the kids' pool, the teens rock to the beat of Material Girl and the older adults dance to Boogie Oogie Oogie at the Weston pool in South Florida, I wonder if there is still meaning in the phrase Fourth of July.

International view

Many internationals in this Weston mega-pool with its water falls, giant hot tub and endless smoothies have experienced less freedom. Whether experiencing directly or indirectly (through their parents and grandparents), the people here have experienced fear and oppression. The Indian couple I met yesterday must have known about British constraints on Indian freedom in India in the early 1900s and the recent threat of radical Islam from neighboring Pakistan.

The parents' of the German girl that I played table tennis must still readily recall the communist menace in and around their country. The Jamaican and Guyanan that I met surely remembers that threat to freedom imposed on their country the last 50 years. The Filipina who I spoke with in the pool certainly remembers the days of martial law under President Marcos in the 1970s and 1980s.

The Philippines

Marcos' dictatorship was the reason why my family left while the borders were still open. Marcos' and his wife Imelda were like the John and Jacqueline Kennedy of our country--before they took over with the help of the military. Don't we know that freedom of fragile?

One year (1971) the Philippines was free; the next (1972) it was in chains. If we are not vigilant as free individuals, then oppression, even in the land of the free and home of the brave, can and will come.

History against freedom

Throughout history, freedom is the exception, not the rule. Under Roman rule, many were in servititude, if not slavery; under the Greeks, most live as serfs serving the wealthy patriarchs. Under the monarchy, communism and radical Islam, many women, children and families are under the threat of unjust edicts or terrororistic subjugation.

During this Fourth of July, remember that freedom is not free, the cost of liberty are lives lost. The march toward freedom many nationalities, particular by Filipinos was hard and long--against Spanish monarchical rule (1521-1898), against brutal Japanese oppression(1941-45), and against Marcos dictatorship (1972-1986). The Philippine government just yesterday survived a coup attemp. Know this: The force of history and fallen human nature is against freedom.

American freedom

I encourage you, specifically as Americans, that we renew our vow now: We "pledge [our] allegiance to the flag and to the United States of America, and to the Republic, for which it stands, one nation, under God, indivisible, with liberty and justice for all." Freedom is not natural in this world; humans oppressing other human beings is the historical norm. Many Americans have felt oppression--remember British tyranny and American slavery.

The Spirit of freedom

Liberty is the work of the human spirit with God's spirit.
The Good Book states, "Where the Spirit of the Lord is, there is liberty."

So where there is spiritual, moral and political vigilance, there is freedom. Yes, during this holiday, enjoy the cool pool, good music and cold smoothies but remember that freedom is wrought from the furnace of human and divine determination.

E-mail me your response!

May 19, 2008

McCain stiff arms Dr. Dobson

From newsmax.com (May 18, 2008 by Phil Brennan titled McCain Rebuffs Dobons: Will Evangelicals bolt?), U.S. Sen. John McCain's campaign has, for the time being, rejected invitations to meet with Dr. James Dobson, a politically influential evangelical broadcaster and psychologist.

According to veteran columnist, Robert Novak of the Chicago Sun-Times, McCain's move leads to U.S. Sen. Barack Obama becoming the next U.S. president.

Key conservatives have reached out to McCain but the GOP presumptive nominee has debranched such olive branches.

Surprised and dissatisfied, many of Dobson's supporters "are looking beyond 2008 to seek a new leader of the conservative movement for the 2012 election," reported Novak.

Will other conservatives branch out away from McCain or will they fall in? The band wagon effect is powerful and so is the Straight Talk Express but shouldn't McCain at least sweeten the pot. A bit of sugar makes the medicine go down.

A humble McCain would also allow his Straight Talk Express to go down the highway farther in November.

Academic and speech freedoms: endangered species?

Academic Freedom and Freedom of Speech?
Academic freedom and freedom of speech apparently do not exist at the University of Toledo (not holy Toledo, but unholy Toledo!).

University of Toledo Associate Vice President Crystal Dixon was recently fired from her job for writing, not for the campus paper, but for the Toledo Free Press, regarding her support for traditional marriage.

In her published article, Ms. Dixon also opposed homosexual rights activists tactic of using civil rights, that is, equating race with homosexuality. As an African-American, Ms. Dixon objected to a column that compared the gay rights movement to the civil rights movements.

The Free Press agreed to print Ms. Dixon's rejoinder opposing homosexual marriage for traditional marriage.

After hundreds of e-mails protesting her response, the president of UT buckled under pressure in just a few weeks, deciding that Ms. Dixon's right to free speech and her right as a thinking academic is superceded by homosexuals right not to be opposed or offended in the marketplace of ideas on and off campus.

It seems, that UT President Lloyd Jacobs supports freedom of speech and academic freedom only when it offends traditional views.

Let's hope that Ms. Dixon's legal team from nearby Thomas More Law Center will win back her constitutional rights.

Where have all our freedoms gone?

Mar 3, 2008

Alamo: Hillary Clinton's Last Stand

Much like Davy Crocket, Jim Bowie and Col. William Travis, U.S. Sen. Hillary Clinton will make her last stand on similar terrain. After 10 consecutive losses and an uneventful debate performance, Clinton is also facing great odds in the Lone Star state.

Though the polls indicate a dead heat, U.S. Sen. Barack Obama has the “big mo,” mimicking the power of General Santa Anna, the Alamo’s eventual victor. Obama’s momentum seems insurmountable. Former President Bill Clinton, has said that his wife has to win Texas. Can she still win this state and the nomination?

Media prognosticators from left to right are already writing her political obituary: “Hillary Should Get Out Now,” said Jonathan Alter of Newsweek and “Who Will Tell Hillary?” asked Robert Novak of the Chicago Sun Times.

According to Real Clear Politics, it is a statistical tie — Clinton and Obama splitting four current polls. Clinton’s home state, Arkansas, is a close neighbor to Texas, so Clinton’s familiar face may be the one advantage she has left — and it may be enough.

Hillary can still win in one of three ways: 1) a successful last stand in Texas and future wins in a few big states; 2) seating of Michigan and Florida delegates; or 3) in a brokered convention, persuading super delegates to nominate her, thus, snatching the win from the jaws of defeat.

Clinton will need everything from tears to toughness, maternal instincts to meanness to win the next three big states (Texas, Ohio, Penn.) by even slim margins. In Ohio and Pennsylvania, she leads by 8 and 14 percentage points respectively. From these three states, Clinton can win most of 577 combined delegates, which would reshape the delegate race. Currently Obama has at 1,351 and Clinton for 1,262.

Another way of avoiding political ruination for Clinton emanates from the fluxed fate of the Florida and Michigan delegates.

Clinton won both states in questionable circumstances but by wide margins. If those delegates are seated, Clinton’s deficit to Obama would immediately close. A decision on those delegates, however, does not seem likely in the near future.

The Clinton camp would like to see them instated outright, which may happen if the Obama agrees to a compromise.

In any event, if the Clinton machine can reinstate those delegates, the race is once again summarily changed.

Finally, the last and least attractive scenario involves the unique concept of the Democrat Convention’s 796 super delegates. If neither Democrat candidate has the necessary 2,025 delegates by the convention, these super delegates will be the deciding factor.

With the power of the Clinton name within the Democrat Party, many of those super delegates could be swayed Clinton’s direction. Even if Obama goes into the convention with a slight lead in the popular vote and delegate count, Clinton may have the influence to overturn the will of the Democrat electorate and take the nomination.

Of course, that would be the least attractive avenue for winning and would require a major effort to reconcile and heal the party’s divergent interests and interest groups.

Crockett, Bowie and Travis lost at the Alamo during the Lonestar state’s decisive drive for Texas Independence. Hillary has a chance to reverse history by winning in Texas against the likes of Mexican Gen. Santa Anna, the Napoleon of the West. The general she’s fighting — Barack Obama — who is overseeing a new political army, however, is much more polite, polished and dynamic.

The Santa Anna winds seem to be blowing Obama’s way, but Clinton cannot be counted out.

Feb 7, 2008

McCain no friend to conservatives

*Published by The Greenville News on February 5, 2008

Conservative pundits and leaders question if U.S. Sen. John McCain would be a loyal standard-bearer of GOP principles.

Some pundits, albeit surprised by his Lazarus-like political ascent going into the South Carolina primary and his subsequent wins in South Carolina and Florida, are no longer overlooking McCain's record in favor of his military and political background.

"His mere third of the voters in South Carolina means that, once again, he failed to carry Republicans or conservatives," Larry J. Sabato, director of the University of Virginia's Center of Politics, wrote in a Rasmussen Reports commentary.

And conservative pundits are not letting their base ignore McCain's drawbacks either.

David Limbaugh, in his Jan. 28 opinion, called conservatives to remember the damage the Arizona senator has dealt to conservative causes, naming his opposition to the Bush tax cuts, favor of the McCain-Kennedy illegal immigration bill and Roe v. Wade decision as examples of McCain's betrayals.

"Vote for McCain if you wish, but please don't insult conservatives by suggesting he's one of us," Limbaugh concluded.

Conservative leader Rick Santorum, a former U.S. senator from Pennsylvania, agreed: "I served 12 years with him, six years in the Senate as of one of the leaders of the Senate, trying to put together the conservative agenda, and almost at every turn, on domestic policy, John McCain was not only against us, but leading the charge on the other side."

McCain's penchant to compromise conservative values in favor of liberal ones causes deep concern. More often than not, he has taken his role of power broker much to the delight of liberals and the chagrin of conservatives.

Consider McCain's marquee pieces of legislation.

Recently McCain-Lieberman came to the U.S. Senate floor. This bill embraces some environmental protection language and raises taxes on certain energy sources.

Then, last summer McCain co-sponsored McCain-Kennedy. The bill provided a path to citizenship for illegal immigrants already in the country and several other illegal immigration-related provisions. The bill went down due to strong opposition from conservatives -- led by talk radio hosts.

He is the co-author of McCain-Feingold -- a bill intended to clean up money in politics. Instead, it has pushed money to front groups under the 527 IRS Code, and consequently politics has become arguably even more unscrupulous. Rush Limbaugh dubbed it "the Incumbent Protection Act."

McCain's leading bills have embraced not only liberal Democrat leaders but also liberal policies on campaign finance and the environment, alienating him from conservatives.

Even on his strongest issue, national security, McCain has problems. He advocates closing Guantanamo Bay, an offshore security installation for suspected agents of terror. He has embraced the liberal rhetoric of America's "damaged image" abroad. And he has been instrumental in opposing the president on terror detainees and interrogation methods.

According to Newsmax.com, McCain is strong in the war on terror, but on domestic policy, "he's very, very dangerous. There's nothing worse than having a Democratic Congress and a Republican president who would act like a Democrat in matters that are important to conservatives."

While many respect congressmen for working across the aisle, McCain seems to stand against conservative interests when he compromises. Not only has John McCain compromised with Democrats, but he has compromised on conservative principles also.

McCain was the ringleader of the "Gang of 14" that was instrumental in legitimizing the extra-constitutional filibustering of judicial nominees. On fiscal policy, he voted against President Bush's tax cuts -- twice. Thus, the Arizona senator deserves no credit for the economic growth of the past seven years.

McCain does not support the federal Human Life Amendment or the Federal Marriage Amendment and voted to fund embryonic stem-cell research, calling evangelical icons Pat Robertson and the late Jerry Falwell "agents of intolerance."

And McCain has a history of courting liberals for their approval. The New York Times has endorsed McCain this primary season.

McCain may be the next president. If elected, he will serve well, but based on his record, he will not lead in the mold of Reagan conservatism. McCain will lead in his amalgam of moderate compromise under the moniker of a maverick, a move that plays well in the eyes of the media but will not assuage conservative fears.

Jan 28, 2008

McCain win in FL equals nomination: the 3 "Ifs"

If McCain
If U.S. Sen. John McCain wins the Florida primary on Tuesday, January 29, then he will become the GOP nominee. After his wins in New Hampshire, South Carolina and then a win in FL, McCain's momentum would become unstoppable. He would clearly win the Super Tuesday delegate race.

If Rudy
If former Mayor Rudolph "Rudy" Giuliani does not win Florida, his campaign is dead on the everglades water. He has intentionally or unintentionally chosen Florida as a "do or die" state. According to the polls, his campaign will die in Florida.

If Romney
If former Governor Mitt Romney wins in Florida, he becomes the new frontrunner. The GOP contest becomes a more open race, with McCain and Romey vying for a sweep in the Super Tuesday while former Governor Mike Huckabee works for a strong showing, keeping his campaign viable.

How Obama overwhelmed Hillary in SC Primary

Key to Obama Victory
The key factor for U.S. Sen. Barack Obama's win in the South Carolina Primary was his win at the Iowa Caucus on Jan. 3. There, he became the frontrunner and a formidable presidential candidate. South Carolina black voters began switching their votes from U.S. Sen. Hillary Clinton won after they saw the Iowa returns. Just like many evangelicals, black voters are pragmatic--they want a winner and support the power that comes with a winner.

How Obama can Florida
Though, Obama won 55% of the S.C. vote, along with 40% of the black vote, he only won 25% of the white vote. This percentage of white voter support may not be enough to win Florida this Tuesday since most of the voters there and the rest of the country are white voters. S.C. has the highest percentage of black voters in the U.S.

Obama has to expand his base across the country just as he did in Iowa.

Jan 22, 2008

McCain wins, Huckabee close second in SC GOP Primary; questions linger

The North Greenville University campus was abuzz in anticipation of hearing Republican presidential candidate Mike Huckabee.

But three days later, the excitement surrounding the former Arkansas governor and Southern Baptist minister –- at the Baptist-affiliated university and elsewhere in South Carolina -- fell shy of a win in South Carolina's Jan. 19 primary.

Instead, Sen. John McCain continued his Lazarus-like ascent by winning the state's GOP primary Saturday after nearly every pundit had crossed off his presidential bid a few months ago. McCain, having waited eight years for the South Carolina win after losing to George W. Bush in 2000, now has added momentum heading into the Florida primary on Jan. 29 and Super Tuesday primaries in more than 20 states on Feb. 5.

At North Greenville University, Huckabee said he sensed "amazing support all around the state" and projected in an interview with Baptist Press that, with a win in South Carolina, "I'll be the frontrunner."

Among evangelicals, Huckabee garnered 43 percent of the vote, according to an exit poll, while McCain received 27 percent, Fred Thompson 15 percent and Mitt Romney 11 percent.

Overall, evangelicals account for 28 percent of the registered voters in this buckle of the Bible Belt.

Greenville County GOP chairman Samuel Harms had said evangelicals like himself are "finding their voice in Mike Huckabee. Most of the calls I've received were for Huckabee." Most evangelicals in the South, Harms projected, "are going with him no matter what."

Likewise, Lisa Van Riper, an NGU professor and president of South Carolina Citizens for Life, had said evangelicals are "looking for a voice, someone who can articulate their concerns." Her organization, however, had endorsed Thompson as such a candidate -- "the strongest candidate, strongest pro-life candidate to go against Rudy Giuliani," the former mayor of New York City. But Thompson finished third in the primary.

Regarding Thompson, Harms had noted, "He did not spend enough time here.... I fear for him that it's too little too late."

That fear was realized, but the state's evangelicals have concerns about the other candidates as well.

Romney placed fourth in South Carolina. He had been first in the polls for months until Huckabee and McCain surpassed him within the last two weeks.

Despite endorsements by Bob Jones III and Robert Taylor at Bob Jones University, Romney was unable to persuade many evangelicals to support his campaign. David Gallamore, senior pastor of Rock Springs Baptist Church in Easley, said, "It is a good possibility that [Romney's Mormonism] would hamper" his campaign among various evangelical pastors.

Some support is flowing "away from Romney due to his Mormonism," agreed Frank Page, Southern Baptist Convention president and senior pastor of First Baptist Church in Taylors.

Regarding McCain, Van Riper said she views him as an acceptable candidate because of his pro-life record, while describing Giuliani's acceptance of abortion and homosexuality as unacceptable.

But Harms disagreed. "[McCain] has criticized conservatives, opposed their issues. Nobody is bringing out McCain's [recent] record because the media had counted him out."

McCain has had a somewhat split record on pro-family issues, voting against a federal marriage amendment twice while leaving open the possibility he could support it if the Defense of Marriage Act was struck down. McCain backed Arizona's proposed marriage amendment and even appeared in commercials urging support for it. On other issues, he supports embryonic stem cell research, although he opposes Roe v. Wade and says he would stand up for the "rights of the unborn" if president and nominate Supreme Court justices like John Roberts and Samuel Alito.

Harms said, for now, McCain's "Straight Talk Express" and his "tough talk on terror and strong bio [as a war hero] are working for him."

The difference between McCain and Huckabee for many evangelicals is trust, said Tony Beam, a North Greenville University vice president. Huckabee's character, Beam said, "is my default mode."

"I can support him," Van Riper said, though cautioning that this trust leaves evangelicals "tempted to not review [Huckabee's] record."

Page echoed a general support for Huckabee with a similar caution. "I do think that evangelicals are moving toward Huckabee," Page said. "He is closest to most evangelicals and Baptists in faith and moral issues" but concerns exist over "foreign, economic and immigration policies," Page said.

On fiscal matters, where his conservatism has been challenged, Huckabee told Baptist Press, "As much as possible to deal with social needs, the church is best. The federal government is the least effective and should be the last resort when things break down."

On immigration, Huckabee became the first major presidential candidate to sign Americans for Better Immigration's "No Amnesty Pledge," which states, "I pledge to oppose amnesty or any other special path to citizenship for the millions of foreign nationals unlawfully present in the United States."

The pledge continues: "As President, I will fully implement enforcement measures that, over time, will lead to the attrition of our illegal immigrant population. I also pledge to make security of our borders a top priority of my administration."

In contrast, as governor, Huckabee fought against his Democrat-led legislature to allow tuition breaks for illegal-alien college students, according to The Washington Times.

Page told Baptist Press, "Everybody makes shifts. It is incumbent upon Mike Huckabee to state clearly where he was, where he is today and where he changed."

Giuliani, meanwhile, generates the most active opposition among evangelicals. Giuliani, who did not compete in the Iowa caucuses and in the early primary states, is waiting to fight in Florida on Jan. 29, Super Tuesday on Feb. 5 and then the rest of the states.

Harms said he does not believe Giuliani can win the GOP nomination outright, "but if he wins California and New York, there will be a brokered convention." At such a convention, "I [could not] and many other evangelicals [could not] support Giuliani."

Page said he agrees with James Dobson of Focus on the Family that a united front against Giuliani is needed and that "evangelicals can realistically defeat him." Even a ticket with Giuliani on top and Huckabee for vice president "would be problematic for Dr. Dobson and myself," Page said.

Huckabee, during his concession speech Saturday night, said that he hadn't lost, but "the clock ran out on us."